Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces — prediction & probabilities

Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream
VSWNBA
4 August 2026 at 00:00 BST
Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
55%
Atlanta Dream
45%
Las Vegas Aces
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Atlanta Dream
55%
Las Vegas Aces
45%
Over 164.5 points
82%

More markets to explore

Atlanta Dream to win by 1.5+ points
50%
Las Vegas Aces to win by 1.5+ points
40%
Projected score
91 - 90
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Atlanta Dream to win (55%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Atlanta Dream Atlanta DreamLas Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces
92.7
Attack
92.6
90.0
Defence
86.9
Key statExpected points: 91 vs 90
Head-to-head historyAtlanta Dream won 0, Las Vegas Aces won 4 of their last 4 recorded meetings
  • 2026-05-17Las Vegas Aces85–84
  • 2025-08-27Las Vegas Aces81–75
  • 2025-08-20Las Vegas Aces74–72
  • 2025-07-23Las Vegas Aces87–72

OddsWasp projected Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 91-90, which translates to win probabilities of 55% for Atlanta Dream and 45% for Las Vegas Aces.

With a projected total of 181 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Atlanta Dream to win at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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