Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty — prediction & probabilities

Dallas WingsDallas Wings
VSWNBA
21 July 2026 · 01:00
New York LibertyNew York Liberty
47%
Dallas Wings
53%
New York Liberty
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Dallas Wings
47%
New York Liberty
53%
Over 164.5 points
51%

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Dallas Wings to win by 1.5+ points
41%
New York Liberty to win by 1.5+ points
48%
Projected score
82 - 83
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
New York Liberty to win (53%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Dallas Wings Dallas WingsNew York Liberty New York Liberty
82.0
Attack
87.0
82.0
Defence
79.0
Key statExpected points: 82 vs 83
Head-to-head historyDallas Wings won 3, New York Liberty won 2 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-08Dallas Wings88–77
  • 2026-05-24Dallas Wings91–76
  • 2025-08-08New York Liberty77–88
  • 2025-08-05New York Liberty76–85
  • 2025-07-29Dallas Wings92–82

OddsWasp projected Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 82-83, which translates to win probabilities of 47% for Dallas Wings and 53% for New York Liberty.

With a projected total of 165 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is New York Liberty to win at 53%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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