Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx — prediction & probabilities

Seattle StormSeattle Storm
VSWNBA
21 July 2026 · 03:00
Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
53%
Seattle Storm
47%
Minnesota Lynx
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Seattle Storm
53%
Minnesota Lynx
47%
Over 164.5 points
44%

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Seattle Storm to win by 1.5+ points
48%
Minnesota Lynx to win by 1.5+ points
41%
Projected score
82 - 81
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Under 164.5 points (56%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Seattle Storm Seattle StormMinnesota Lynx Minnesota Lynx
81.0
Attack
84.0
80.0
Defence
79.0
Key statExpected points: 82 vs 81
Head-to-head historySeattle Storm won 2, Minnesota Lynx won 3 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-06Minnesota Lynx68–88
  • 2025-08-29Seattle Storm93–79
  • 2025-08-06Minnesota Lynx87–91
  • 2025-06-12Seattle Storm94–84
  • 2025-05-28Minnesota Lynx77–82

OddsWasp projected Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 82-81, which translates to win probabilities of 53% for Seattle Storm and 47% for Minnesota Lynx.

With a projected total of 163 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 164.5 points at 56%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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