Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun — prediction & probabilities
Washington MysticsVS
Connecticut Sun68%
Washington Mystics32%
Connecticut SunAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
Washington Mystics
68%
Connecticut Sun
32%
Over 164.5 points
51%
More markets to explore
Washington Mystics to win by 5.5+ points
49%
Connecticut Sun to win by 5.5+ points
17%
Projected score
85 - 80
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Washington Mystics to win (68%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Mystics | 1.51 | 63.3% | 68% |
| Connecticut Sun | 2.60 | 36.7% | 32% |
Washington Mystics to winEdge on the suggested market: +4.7 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.03
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-24 02:09 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Washington MysticsConnecticut Sun Attack
Defence
Key statExpected points: 85 vs 80
Head-to-head historyWashington Mystics won 3, Connecticut Sun won 3 of their last 6 recorded meetings
- 2026-06-26Connecticut Sun68–57
- 2026-06-17Washington Mystics88–81
- 2025-08-21Connecticut Sun67–56
- 2025-08-19Connecticut Sun80–69
- 2025-06-08Washington Mystics104–67
OddsWasp projected Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.
OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 85-80, which translates to win probabilities of 68% for Washington Mystics and 32% for Connecticut Sun.
With a projected total of 165 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Washington Mystics to win at 68%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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