Remo vs Atlético-MG — prediction & probabilities
RemoVS
Atlético-MG33%
1 — Remo27%
X40%
2 — Atlético-MGAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Remo
33%
X — Draw
27%
2 — Atlético-MG
40%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
49%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
Double chance: Remo or draw
60%
Double chance: draw or Atlético-MG
67%
Double chance: either team to win
73%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
38%
Remo to win & over 2.5 goals
17%
Atlético-MG to win & over 2.5 goals
21%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
36%
Expected goals
1.13 : 1.28
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (57%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remo | 2.95 | 31.3% | 33% |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.3% | 27% |
| Atlético-MG | 2.35 | 39.3% | 40% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-04 05:32 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.13 vs 1.28
Head-to-head historyRemo won 0, Atlético-MG won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-02-11Draw3–3
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Remo and Atlético-MG through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 33% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 40% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 57%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 43% and both teams to score at 49%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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