AGF vs Lech Poznan — prediction & probabilities

AGFAGF
VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
21 July 2026 · 18:00
Lech PoznanLech Poznan
44%
1 — AGF
26%
X
30%
2 — Lech Poznan
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — AGF
44%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Lech Poznan
30%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
Double chance: AGF or draw
70%
Double chance: draw or Lech Poznan
56%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
42%
AGF to win & over 2.5 goals
25%
Lech Poznan to win & over 2.5 goals
17%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
40%
Expected goals
1.45 : 1.15
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Double chance: AGF or draw (70%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

AGF AGFLech Poznan Lech Poznan
1.00
Attack
1.00
1.00
Defence
1.00
Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran this UEFA Champions League Qualifying meeting between AGF and Lech Poznan through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for AGF and 1.15 for Lech Poznan, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

OddsWasp leans towards Double chance: AGF or draw (70%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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