Sparta Prague vs Lyon — prediction & probabilities

Sparta Prague

VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
4 August 2026 at 19:00 BST

Lyon

44%

1 — Sparta Prague

26%

30%

2 — Lyon

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — Sparta Prague

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Lyon

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

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Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: Sparta Prague or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or Lyon

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

Sparta Prague to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

Lyon to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Sparta PragueLyon

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

Ahead of Sparta Prague vs Lyon, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the UEFA Champions League Qualifying.

OddsWasp estimates a 44% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).