Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteño — prediction & probabilities
PalmeirasVS
Cerro Porteño36%
1 — Palmeiras35%
X29%
2 — Cerro PorteñoAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Palmeiras
36%
X — Draw
35%
2 — Cerro Porteño
29%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
31%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
49%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
Double chance: Palmeiras or draw
71%
Double chance: draw or Cerro Porteño
64%
Double chance: either team to win
65%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
21%
Palmeiras to win & over 2.5 goals
12%
Cerro Porteño to win & over 2.5 goals
9%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
18%
Expected goals
0.88 : 0.77
Most likely score
0 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (77%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.30 opened 1.28 | 71.2% | 36% |
| Draw | 5.00 | 18.5% | 35% |
| Cerro Porteño | 9.00 opened 10.00 | 10.3% | 29% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-08 02:18 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
PalmeirasCerro Porteño Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.88 vs 0.77
Head-to-head historyPalmeiras won 2, Cerro Porteño won 1 of their last 4 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-05-21Cerro Porteño1–0
- 2026-04-30Draw1–1
- 2025-05-08Palmeiras2–0
- 2025-04-10Palmeiras1–0
OddsWasp compared Palmeiras and Cerro Porteño using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Copa Libertadores.
OddsWasp gives Palmeiras a 36% chance of winning, against 29% for Cerro Porteño and 35% for a draw. The most probable score is 0-0.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 77%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 23% and both teams to score at 31%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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