France vs England — prediction & probabilities

FranceFrance
VSFIFA World Cup
18 July 2026 · 22:00
EnglandEngland
37%
1 — France
26%
X
37%
2 — England
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — France
37%
X — Draw
26%
2 — England
37%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
55%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
Double chance: France or draw
63%
Double chance: draw or England
63%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
Expected goals
1.35 : 1.33
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Over 1.5 goals (75%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

France FranceEngland England
1.30
Attack
1.25
0.82
Defence
0.80
Key statExpected goals: 1.35 vs 1.33
Head-to-head historyFrance won 1, England won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2022-12-10France2–1

OddsWasp ran France vs England at the FIFA World Cup through its Poisson goal calculation using both sides' scoring and conceding ratings, with home advantage switched off for the neutral venue.

OddsWasp gives France a 37% chance of winning, against 37% for England and 26% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.

OddsWasp leans towards Over 1.5 goals (75%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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