France vs Spain — prediction & probabilities

FranceFrance
FINAL02FIFA World Cup
14 July 2026 · 20:00
SpainSpain
Incorrect prediction

OddsWasp suggested Both teams to score — Yes (57%), but the final result was different: 0–2.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score57%
35%
1 — France
25%
X
39%
2 — Spain
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — France
35%
X — Draw
25%
2 — Spain
39%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
57%
Expected goals
1.35 : 1.44
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (57%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

France FranceSpain Spain
1.30
Attack
1.35
0.82
Defence
0.80
Key statExpected goals: 1.35 vs 1.44
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran France vs Spain at the FIFA World Cup through its Poisson goal calculation using both sides' scoring and conceding ratings, with home advantage switched off for the neutral venue.

OddsWasp estimates a 35% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 39% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Both teams to score — Yes (57%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 57%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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