Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderi — prediction & probabilities

Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev
FINAL20Nordea Open
19 July 2026 at 13:10 BST
Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi
Incorrect prediction

OddsWasp suggested Luciano Darderi to win (55%), but the final result was different: 2–0.

45%
Andrey Rublev
55%
Luciano Darderi
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Andrey Rublev
45%
Luciano Darderi
55%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Luciano Darderi to win (55%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Andrey Rublev Andrey RublevLuciano Darderi Luciano Darderi
1980
Elo rating
2016
Key statWorld ranking: Andrey Rublev #14 · Luciano Darderi #21
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderi at Nordea Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Andrey Rublev a 45% chance of winning the match, against 55% for Luciano Darderi.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Luciano Darderi to win (55%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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