Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez — prediction & probabilities

Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev
FINAL20Nordea Open
17 July 2026 at 14:30 BST
Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez
Correct prediction

OddsWasp suggested Andrey Rublev to win (57%) — and the result confirmed it: 2–0.

57%
Andrey Rublev
43%
Sebastian Baez
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Andrey Rublev
57%
Sebastian Baez
43%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Andrey Rublev to win (57%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Andrey Rublev Andrey RublevSebastian Baez Sebastian Baez
1980
Elo rating
1930
Key statWorld ranking: Andrey Rublev #16 · Sebastian Baez #56
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez at Nordea Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Andrey Rublev a 57% chance of winning the match, against 43% for Sebastian Baez.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Andrey Rublev to win (57%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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