Denis Shapovalov vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez — prediction & probabilities

Denis Shapovalov

FINAL2–0Mifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo
30 July 2026 at 04:20 BST

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

59%

Denis Shapovalov

41%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

Denis Shapovalov

59%

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

41%

Straight sets

51%

Match goes the distance

49%

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Denis ShapovalovRodrigo Pacheco Mendez

1913

Elo rating

1850

Key statElo rating gap: 63 points

Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Denis Shapovalov and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (Mifel Tennis Open by Telcel Oppo).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 59% for Denis Shapovalov and 41% for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).