Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka — prediction & probabilities
Elise MertensVS
Naomi Osaka42%
Elise Mertens58%
Naomi OsakaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Elise Mertens
42%
Naomi Osaka
58%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Naomi Osaka to win (58%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Elise MertensNaomi Osaka Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Elise Mertens #24 · Naomi Osaka #13
Head-to-head historyElise Mertens won 0, Naomi Osaka won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-06-23Naomi Osaka(6) Naomi Osaka (JPN) bt Elise Mertens (BEL) 6-3 6-3
OddsWasp compared Elise Mertens and Naomi Osaka using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).
OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 42% for Elise Mertens and 58% for Naomi Osaka.
OddsWasp's strongest read is Naomi Osaka to win, rated at 58%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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