Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces — prediction & probabilities

Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
VSWNBA
8 August 2026 at 18:00 BST
Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
62%
Minnesota Lynx
38%
Las Vegas Aces
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Minnesota Lynx
62%
Las Vegas Aces
38%
Over 164.5 points
87%

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Minnesota Lynx to win by 3.5+ points
50%
Las Vegas Aces to win by 3.5+ points
27%
Projected score
94 - 90
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Minnesota Lynx to win (62%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Minnesota Lynx Minnesota LynxLas Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces
96.8
Attack
95.5
88.4
Defence
88.2
Key statExpected points: 94 vs 90
Head-to-head historyMinnesota Lynx won 3, Las Vegas Aces won 2 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-14Las Vegas Aces100–97
  • 2025-09-05Las Vegas Aces97–87
  • 2025-08-02Minnesota Lynx111–58
  • 2025-07-25Minnesota Lynx109–78
  • 2025-06-18Minnesota Lynx76–62

OddsWasp projected Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 94-90, which translates to win probabilities of 62% for Minnesota Lynx and 38% for Las Vegas Aces.

With a projected total of 184 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Minnesota Lynx to win at 62%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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