Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks — prediction & probabilities

Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
VSWNBA
15 July 2026 · 18:00
Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
68%
Minnesota Lynx
32%
Los Angeles Sparks
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Minnesota Lynx
68%
Los Angeles Sparks
32%
Over 164.5 points
48%
Projected score
85 - 79
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Minnesota Lynx to win (68%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Minnesota Lynx Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks Los Angeles Sparks
84.0
Attack
82.0
79.0
Defence
82.0
Key statExpected points: 85 vs 79
Head-to-head historyMinnesota Lynx won 5, Los Angeles Sparks won 0 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-18Minnesota Lynx99–83
  • 2025-07-10Minnesota Lynx91–82
  • 2025-06-22Minnesota Lynx82–66
  • 2025-06-14Minnesota Lynx101–78
  • 2025-05-18Minnesota Lynx89–75

OddsWasp projected Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 85-79, which translates to win probabilities of 68% for Minnesota Lynx and 32% for Los Angeles Sparks.

With a projected total of 164 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Minnesota Lynx to win at 68%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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