Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks — prediction & probabilities

Minnesota LynxMinnesota Lynx
VSWNBA
7 August 2026 at 02:00 BST
Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
81%
Minnesota Lynx
19%
Los Angeles Sparks
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Minnesota Lynx
81%
Los Angeles Sparks
19%
Over 164.5 points
90%

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Minnesota Lynx to win by 9.5+ points
52%
Los Angeles Sparks to win by 9.5+ points
4%
Projected score
99 - 89
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Minnesota Lynx to win (81%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Minnesota Lynx Minnesota LynxLos Angeles Sparks Los Angeles Sparks
96.8
Attack
91.7
88.4
Defence
97.3
Key statExpected points: 99 vs 89
Head-to-head historyMinnesota Lynx won 6, Los Angeles Sparks won 0 of their last 6 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-15Minnesota Lynx96–87
  • 2026-06-18Minnesota Lynx99–83
  • 2025-07-10Minnesota Lynx91–82
  • 2025-06-22Minnesota Lynx82–66
  • 2025-06-14Minnesota Lynx101–78

OddsWasp projected Minnesota Lynx vs Los Angeles Sparks by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 99-89, which translates to win probabilities of 81% for Minnesota Lynx and 19% for Los Angeles Sparks.

With a projected total of 188 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Minnesota Lynx to win at 81%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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