Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces — prediction & probabilities

Washington MysticsWashington Mystics
VSWNBA
23 July 2026 at 00:30 BST
Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
52%
Washington Mystics
48%
Las Vegas Aces
Advertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Washington Mystics
52%
Las Vegas Aces
48%
Over 164.5 points
51%

More markets to explore

Washington Mystics to win by 0.5+ points
50%
Las Vegas Aces to win by 0.5+ points
47%
Projected score
83 - 82
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Washington Mystics to win (52%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Washington Mystics Washington MysticsLas Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces
76.0
Attack
88.9
78.6
Defence
86.5
Key statExpected points: 83 vs 82
Head-to-head historyWashington Mystics won 2, Las Vegas Aces won 2 of their last 4 recorded meetings
  • 2025-08-23Las Vegas Aces91–81
  • 2025-07-10Washington Mystics70–68
  • 2025-06-27Washington Mystics94–83
  • 2025-05-24Las Vegas Aces75–72

OddsWasp projected Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 83-82, which translates to win probabilities of 52% for Washington Mystics and 48% for Las Vegas Aces.

With a projected total of 165 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Washington Mystics to win at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

Advertisement

More matches in this league