Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty — prediction & probabilities

Indiana FeverIndiana Fever
VSWNBA
19 July 2026 · 01:00
New York LibertyNew York Liberty
45%
Indiana Fever
55%
New York Liberty
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Indiana Fever
45%
New York Liberty
55%
Over 164.5 points
54%
Projected score
83 - 84
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
New York Liberty to win (55%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Indiana Fever Indiana FeverNew York Liberty New York Liberty
83.0
Attack
87.0
84.0
Defence
79.0
Key statExpected points: 83 vs 84
Head-to-head historyIndiana Fever won 2, New York Liberty won 4 of their last 6 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-07New York Liberty75–83
  • 2026-04-25Indiana Fever109–91
  • 2025-07-23New York Liberty84–98
  • 2025-07-16New York Liberty77–98
  • 2025-06-14Indiana Fever102–88

OddsWasp projected Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 83-84, which translates to win probabilities of 45% for Indiana Fever and 55% for New York Liberty.

With a projected total of 167 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is New York Liberty to win at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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