Bahia vs Corinthians — prediction & probabilities
BahiaVS
Corinthians46%
1 — Bahia26%
X28%
2 — CorinthiansAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Bahia
46%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Corinthians
28%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
51%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
Double chance: Bahia or draw
72%
Double chance: draw or Corinthians
54%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
41%
Bahia to win & over 2.5 goals
26%
Corinthians to win & over 2.5 goals
15%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
38%
Expected goals
1.46 : 1.08
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Double chance: Bahia or draw (72%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
BahiaCorinthians Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.46 vs 1.08
Head-to-head historyBahia won 2, Corinthians won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-01-28Bahia2–1
- 2025-08-17Bahia2–1
- 2025-03-30Draw1–1
Ahead of Bahia vs Corinthians, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.46 for Bahia and 1.08 for Corinthians, translating into probabilities of 46% (home), 26% (draw) and 28% (away).
OddsWasp leans towards Double chance: Bahia or draw (72%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 51%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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Vitória28%MediumBoth teams to score — Yes · 61%
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Remo25%MediumUnder 2.5 goals · 59%
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Chapecoense6%
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Internacional40%
Cruzeiro34%MediumBoth teams to score — Yes · 55%
X 26%