Cruzeiro vs Botafogo — prediction & probabilities

Cruzeiro

VSBrasileirão Série A
26 July 2026 at 20:00 BST

Botafogo

48%

1 — Cruzeiro

23%

30%

2 — Botafogo

OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Cruzeiro

48%

X — Draw

23%

2 — Botafogo

30%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

Both teams to score

64%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

83%

Over 3.5 goals

41%

Double chance: Cruzeiro or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or Botafogo

52%

Double chance: either team to win

77%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

54%

Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals

34%

Botafogo to win & over 2.5 goals

20%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

53%

Expected goals

1.83 : 1.41

Most likely score

1 - 1

Suggested market

Both teams to score — Yes (64%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

CruzeiroBotafogo

1.08

Attack

1.32

0.93

Defence

1.17

Key statExpected goals: 1.83 vs 1.41

Head-to-head historyCruzeiro won 1, Botafogo won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)

2026-01-30Botafogo4–0
2025-12-04Draw2–2
2025-08-03Cruzeiro2–0

OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Cruzeiro and Botafogo through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.83 for Cruzeiro and 1.41 for Botafogo, translating into probabilities of 48% (home), 23% (draw) and 30% (away).

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 64%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).