Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol — prediction & probabilities
Vasco da GamaVS
Mirassol31%
1 — Vasco da Gama31%
X38%
2 — MirassolAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Vasco da Gama
31%
X — Draw
31%
2 — Mirassol
38%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
40%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
59%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
Double chance: Vasco da Gama or draw
62%
Double chance: draw or Mirassol
69%
Double chance: either team to win
69%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
28%
Vasco da Gama to win & over 2.5 goals
12%
Mirassol to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
26%
Expected goals
0.93 : 1.07
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (68%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco da Gama | 2.00 opened 2.05 | 46.1% | 31% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.9% | 31% |
| Mirassol | 3.55 opened 3.40 | 26% | 38% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-21 09:26 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Vasco da GamaMirassol Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.93 vs 1.07
Head-to-head historyVasco da Gama won 0, Mirassol won 3 of their last 3 recorded meetings
- 2026-01-29Mirassol2–1
- 2025-12-02Mirassol2–0
- 2025-08-02Mirassol3–2
OddsWasp compared Vasco da Gama and Mirassol using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 0.93 for Vasco da Gama and 1.07 for Mirassol, translating into probabilities of 31% (home), 31% (draw) and 38% (away).
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 68%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 40%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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