SK Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian — prediction & probabilities

SK Sturm GrazSK Sturm Graz
VSUEFA Champions League Qualifying
21 July 2026 · 19:30
Heart of MidlothianHeart of Midlothian
44%
1 — SK Sturm Graz
26%
X
30%
2 — Heart of Midlothian
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — SK Sturm Graz
44%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Heart of Midlothian
30%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
26%
Double chance: SK Sturm Graz or draw
70%
Double chance: draw or Heart of Midlothian
56%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
42%
SK Sturm Graz to win & over 2.5 goals
25%
Heart of Midlothian to win & over 2.5 goals
17%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
40%
Expected goals
1.45 : 1.15
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Double chance: SK Sturm Graz or draw (70%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm GrazHeart of Midlothian Heart of Midlothian
1.00
Attack
1.00
1.00
Defence
1.00
Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared SK Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the UEFA Champions League Qualifying.

OddsWasp estimates a 44% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Double chance: SK Sturm Graz or draw (70%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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