Estrela vs Sporting CP — prediction & probabilities

Estrela

VSLiga Portugal
8 August 2026 at 20:30 BST

Sporting CP

31%

1 — Estrela

26%

44%

2 — Sporting CP

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — Estrela

31%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Sporting CP

44%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams to score

54%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

74%

Over 3.5 goals

28%

Double chance: Estrela or draw

56%

Double chance: draw or Sporting CP

69%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

43%

Estrela to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Sporting CP to win & over 2.5 goals

26%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

41%

Expected goals

1.19 : 1.47

Most likely score

1 - 1

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Estrela	12.00 opened 13.00	7.7%	31%
Draw	6.50	14.3%	26%
Sporting CP	1.19	78%	44%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-04 06:00 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

EstrelaSporting CP

1.00

Attack

1.28

1.00

Defence

0.82

Key statExpected goals: 1.19 vs 1.47

Head-to-head historyEstrela won 0, Sporting CP won 2 of their last 2 recorded meetings

2026-04-11Sporting CP1–0
2025-11-30Sporting CP4–0

OddsWasp compared Estrela and Sporting CP using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Liga Portugal.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.19 for Estrela and 1.47 for Sporting CP, translating into probabilities of 31% (home), 26% (draw) and 44% (away).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).