Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire FC — prediction & probabilities

Inter MiamiInter Miami
VSMLS
23 July 2026 at 00:30 BST
Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FC
43%
1 — Inter Miami
21%
X
36%
2 — Chicago Fire FC
Advertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Inter Miami
43%
X — Draw
21%
2 — Chicago Fire FC
36%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
71%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
Double chance: Inter Miami or draw
64%
Double chance: draw or Chicago Fire FC
57%
Double chance: either team to win
78%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
61%
Inter Miami to win & over 2.5 goals
33%
Chicago Fire FC to win & over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
63%
Expected goals
1.94 : 1.77
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Over 2.5 goals (72%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Inter Miami1.9547%43%
Draw4.1022.4%21%
Chicago Fire FC3.0030.6%36%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-18 07:54 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Inter Miami Inter MiamiChicago Fire FC Chicago Fire FC
1.86
Attack
1.26
1.22
Defence
0.72
Key statExpected goals: 1.94 vs 1.77
Head-to-head historyInter Miami won 0, Chicago Fire FC won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
  • 2025-09-30Chicago Fire FC5–3
  • 2025-04-13Draw0–0

OddsWasp compared Inter Miami and Chicago Fire FC using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the MLS.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.94 for Inter Miami and 1.77 for Chicago Fire FC, translating into probabilities of 43% (home), 21% (draw) and 36% (away).

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Over 2.5 goals, rated at 72%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 72% and both teams to score at 71%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

Advertisement

More matches in this league