New England Revolution vs Toronto FC — prediction & probabilities
New England RevolutionVS
Toronto FC54%
1 — New England Revolution28%
X18%
2 — Toronto FCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — New England Revolution
54%
X — Draw
28%
2 — Toronto FC
18%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
37%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
61%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
Double chance: New England Revolution or draw
82%
Double chance: draw or Toronto FC
46%
Double chance: either team to win
72%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
31%
New England Revolution to win & over 2.5 goals
24%
Toronto FC to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
25%
Expected goals
1.39 : 0.68
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (66%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.91 | 47.8% | 54% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.7% | 28% |
| Toronto FC | 3.45 | 26.5% | 18% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-18 07:55 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
New England RevolutionToronto FC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.39 vs 0.68
Head-to-head historyNew England Revolution won 1, Toronto FC won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2025-09-13Draw1–1
- 2025-05-03New England Revolution2–0
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between New England Revolution and Toronto FC through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 54% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 18% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 66%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 34% and both teams to score at 37%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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