Botafogo vs Santos — prediction & probabilities

Botafogo

VSBrasileirão Série A
16 July 2026 · 23:30

Santos

51%

1 — Botafogo

25%

2 — Santos

OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

1 — Botafogo

51%

X — Draw

25%

2 — Santos

25%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams to score

52%

Expected goals

1.62 : 1.06

Most likely score

1 - 1

Suggested market

Both teams to score — Yes (52%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

BotafogoSantos

1.12

Attack

1.00

0.92

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.62 vs 1.06

Head-to-head historyBotafogo won 1, Santos won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)

2025-10-26Santos2–2
2025-06-01Botafogo1–0

OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Botafogo and Santos through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp estimates a 51% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 25% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 52%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).