Vitória vs Vasco da Gama — prediction & probabilities

Vitória

VSBrasileirão Série A
16 July 2026 · 23:30

Vasco da Gama

44%

1 — Vitória

26%

30%

2 — Vasco da Gama

OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

1 — Vitória

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Vasco da Gama

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

Suggested market

Both teams to score — Yes (52%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

VitóriaVasco da Gama

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyVitória won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings

2025-10-05Vasco da Gama3–4
2025-05-10Vitória2–1

Ahead of Vitória vs Vasco da Gama, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.

OddsWasp estimates a 44% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 52%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).