Mirassol vs Gremio — prediction & probabilities
MirassolVS
Gremio44%
1 — Mirassol26%
X30%
2 — GremioAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Low
Probabilities
1 — Mirassol
44%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Gremio
30%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
52%
Expected goals
1.45 : 1.15
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (52%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
MirassolGremio Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15
Head-to-head historyMirassol won 2, Gremio won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-09-13Mirassol1–0
- 2025-04-16Mirassol4–1
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Mirassol and Gremio through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 44% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 30% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Both teams to score — Yes (52%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 52%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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