Flamengo vs Vitória — prediction & probabilities

FlamengoFlamengo
VSBrasileirão Série A
9 August 2026 at 23:30 BST
VitóriaVitória
80%
1 — Flamengo
14%
X
6%
2 — Vitória
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Flamengo
80%
X — Draw
14%
2 — Vitória
6%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
37%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
Double chance: Flamengo or draw
94%
Double chance: draw or Vitória
20%
Double chance: either team to win
86%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
55%
Flamengo to win & over 2.5 goals
53%
Vitória to win & over 2.5 goals
3%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
30%
Expected goals
2.48 : 0.52
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
Flamengo to win (80%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Flamengo FlamengoVitória Vitória
1.40
Attack
0.64
0.70
Defence
1.22
Key statExpected goals: 2.48 vs 0.52
Head-to-head historyFlamengo won 3, Vitória won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings
  • 2026-02-11Flamengo2–1
  • 2025-08-26Flamengo8–0
  • 2025-04-06Flamengo2–1

Ahead of Flamengo vs Vitória, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.

OddsWasp estimates a 80% chance of a home win, 14% for the draw and 6% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Flamengo to win (80%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 37%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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