Cruzeiro vs Flamengo — prediction & probabilities
CruzeiroVS
Flamengo34%
1 — Cruzeiro39%
X28%
2 — FlamengoAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Cruzeiro
34%
X — Draw
39%
2 — Flamengo
28%
Over 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams to score
25%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
40%
Over 3.5 goals
5%
Double chance: Cruzeiro or draw
72%
Double chance: draw or Flamengo
66%
Double chance: either team to win
61%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
15%
Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals
8%
Flamengo to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
13%
Expected goals
0.74 : 0.64
Most likely score
0 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (84%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 3.00 opened 2.95 | 30.9% | 34% |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.4% | 39% |
| Flamengo | 2.45 opened 2.70 | 37.8% | 28% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-09 02:20 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
CruzeiroFlamengo Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.74 vs 0.64
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp compared Cruzeiro and Flamengo using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Copa Libertadores.
OddsWasp gives Cruzeiro a 34% chance of winning, against 28% for Flamengo and 39% for a draw. The most probable score is 0-0.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 84%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 16% and both teams to score at 25%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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