Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave — prediction & probabilities

Gil Vicente

VSLiga Portugal
9 August 2026 at 20:30 BST

Rio Ave

44%

1 — Gil Vicente

26%

30%

2 — Rio Ave

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — Gil Vicente

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Rio Ave

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: Gil Vicente or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or Rio Ave

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

Gil Vicente to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

Rio Ave to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Gil Vicente	1.95 opened 1.91	47.1%	44%
Draw	3.35	27.4%	26%
Rio Ave	3.60 opened 3.85	25.5%	30%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-05 06:50 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Gil VicenteRio Ave

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyGil Vicente won 0, Rio Ave won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (2 draws)

2026-05-03Draw0–0
2025-12-20Draw2–2

OddsWasp ran this Liga Portugal meeting between Gil Vicente and Rio Ave through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for Gil Vicente and 1.15 for Rio Ave, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).