Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United — prediction & probabilities
Charlotte FCVS
Atlanta United53%
1 — Charlotte FC30%
X17%
2 — Atlanta UnitedAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Charlotte FC
53%
X — Draw
30%
2 — Atlanta United
17%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Both teams to score
30%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
54%
Over 3.5 goals
11%
Double chance: Charlotte FC or draw
83%
Double chance: draw or Atlanta United
47%
Double chance: either team to win
70%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
25%
Charlotte FC to win & over 2.5 goals
20%
Atlanta United to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
19%
Expected goals
1.24 : 0.55
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (73%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte FC | 1.80 | 51% | 53% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 30% |
| Atlanta United | 3.90 | 23.5% | 17% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 11:07 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Charlotte FCAtlanta United Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.24 vs 0.55
Head-to-head historyCharlotte FC won 2, Atlanta United won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-07-19Charlotte FC3–2
- 2025-03-01Charlotte FC2–0
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Charlotte FC and Atlanta United through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp gives Charlotte FC a 53% chance of winning, against 17% for Atlanta United and 30% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-0.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (73%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 27% and both teams scoring at 30%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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