Chicago Fire FC vs Charlotte FC — prediction & probabilities

Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FC
VSMLS
2 August 2026 at 01:30 BST
Charlotte FCCharlotte FC
41%
1 — Chicago Fire FC
26%
X
32%
2 — Charlotte FC
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Chicago Fire FC
41%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Charlotte FC
32%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
53%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
Double chance: Chicago Fire FC or draw
68%
Double chance: draw or Charlotte FC
59%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
42%
Chicago Fire FC to win & over 2.5 goals
24%
Charlotte FC to win & over 2.5 goals
18%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
40%
Expected goals
1.4 : 1.21
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Double chance: Chicago Fire FC or draw (68%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Chicago Fire FC1.50 opened 1.5161%41%
Draw4.5020.3%26%
Charlotte FC4.90 opened 4.7018.7%32%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Chicago Fire FC Chicago Fire FCCharlotte FC Charlotte FC
1.21
Attack
1.05
1.00
Defence
0.80
Key statExpected goals: 1.4 vs 1.21
Head-to-head historyChicago Fire FC won 2, Charlotte FC won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings
  • 2025-06-29Chicago Fire FC3–2
  • 2025-05-17Chicago Fire FC4–1

OddsWasp compared Chicago Fire FC and Charlotte FC using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the MLS.

OddsWasp estimates a 41% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 32% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Double chance: Chicago Fire FC or draw (68%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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