D.C. United vs Nashville SC — prediction & probabilities
D.C. UnitedVS
Nashville SC20%
1 — D.C. United29%
X51%
2 — Nashville SCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — D.C. United
20%
X — Draw
29%
2 — Nashville SC
51%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
37%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
59%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
Double chance: D.C. United or draw
49%
Double chance: draw or Nashville SC
80%
Double chance: either team to win
71%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
29%
D.C. United to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
Nashville SC to win & over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
24%
Expected goals
0.7 : 1.3
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (68%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| D.C. United | 2.80 opened 2.75 | 32.6% | 20% |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 29% |
| Nashville SC | 2.30 opened 2.25 | 39.7% | 51% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-28 18:08 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
D.C. UnitedNashville SC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.7 vs 1.3
Head-to-head historyD.C. United won 0, Nashville SC won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (2 draws)
- 2026-05-10Draw2–2
- 2025-06-28Nashville SC1–0
- 2025-05-18Draw0–0
Ahead of D.C. United vs Nashville SC, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 0.7 for D.C. United and 1.3 for Nashville SC, translating into probabilities of 20% (home), 29% (draw) and 51% (away).
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 68%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 32% and both teams to score at 37%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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