LA Galaxy vs FC Dallas — prediction & probabilities

LA Galaxy

VSMLS
2 August 2026 at 03:30 BST

FC Dallas

28%

1 — LA Galaxy

28%

45%

2 — FC Dallas

OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — LA Galaxy

28%

X — Draw

28%

2 — FC Dallas

45%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

Both teams to score

46%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

67%

Over 3.5 goals

20%

Double chance: LA Galaxy or draw

55%

Double chance: draw or FC Dallas

72%

Double chance: either team to win

72%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

36%

LA Galaxy to win & over 2.5 goals

13%

FC Dallas to win & over 2.5 goals

23%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

33%

Expected goals

0.98 : 1.33

Most likely score

0 - 1

Suggested market

Under 2.5 goals (59%)

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
LA Galaxy	2.10 opened 2.15	43.4%	28%
Draw	3.70	24.6%	28%
FC Dallas	2.85 opened 2.75	32%	45%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

LA GalaxyFC Dallas

0.73

Attack

1.12

1.03

Defence

0.93

Key statExpected goals: 0.98 vs 1.33

Head-to-head historyLA Galaxy won 1, FC Dallas won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)

2026-04-19Draw2–2
2025-10-12LA Galaxy2–1
2025-10-04FC Dallas2–1

OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between LA Galaxy and FC Dallas through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 0.98 for LA Galaxy and 1.33 for FC Dallas, translating into probabilities of 28% (home), 28% (draw) and 45% (away).

OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (59%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 46%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).