Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas — prediction & probabilities

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
VSMLS
23 July 2026 at 03:30 BST
FC DallasFC Dallas
39%
1 — Portland Timbers
23%
X
37%
2 — FC Dallas
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Portland Timbers
39%
X — Draw
23%
2 — FC Dallas
37%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
64%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
Double chance: Portland Timbers or draw
63%
Double chance: draw or FC Dallas
61%
Double chance: either team to win
77%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
54%
Portland Timbers to win & over 2.5 goals
27%
FC Dallas to win & over 2.5 goals
26%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
54%
Expected goals
1.64 : 1.59
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (64%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Portland Timbers2.3539%39%
Draw3.5525.8%23%
FC Dallas2.6035.2%37%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 11:07 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Portland Timbers Portland TimbersFC Dallas FC Dallas
1.24
Attack
1.26
1.10
Defence
0.91
Key statExpected goals: 1.64 vs 1.59
Head-to-head historyPortland Timbers won 0, FC Dallas won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
  • 2025-09-28Draw2–2
  • 2025-08-10FC Dallas2–0

Ahead of Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp estimates a 39% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 37% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 64%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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