Red Bull New York vs Orlando City SC — prediction & probabilities
Red Bull New YorkVS
Orlando City SC37%
1 — Red Bull New York22%
X41%
2 — Orlando City SCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Red Bull New York
37%
X — Draw
22%
2 — Orlando City SC
41%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams to score
70%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
48%
Double chance: Red Bull New York or draw
59%
Double chance: draw or Orlando City SC
63%
Double chance: either team to win
78%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
59%
Red Bull New York to win & over 2.5 goals
28%
Orlando City SC to win & over 2.5 goals
31%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
61%
Expected goals
1.74 : 1.85
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Over 2.5 goals (70%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull New York | 2.05 | 44.5% | 37% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.4% | 22% |
| Orlando City SC | 2.85 opened 2.75 | 32% | 41% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-28 18:14 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Red Bull New YorkOrlando City SC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.74 vs 1.85
Head-to-head historyRed Bull New York won 1, Orlando City SC won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings (2 draws)
- 2026-02-22Red Bull New York2–1
- 2025-04-12Draw0–0
- 2025-03-15Draw2–2
Ahead of Red Bull New York vs Orlando City SC, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp gives Red Bull New York a 37% chance of winning, against 41% for Orlando City SC and 22% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.
OddsWasp leans towards Over 2.5 goals (70%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams scoring at 70%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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