San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC — prediction & probabilities
San Jose EarthquakesVS
Orlando City SC85%
1 — San Jose Earthquakes9%
X6%
2 — Orlando City SCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — San Jose Earthquakes
85%
X — Draw
9%
2 — Orlando City SC
6%
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Both teams to score
62%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
Double chance: San Jose Earthquakes or draw
94%
Double chance: draw or Orlando City SC
15%
Double chance: either team to win
91%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
80%
San Jose Earthquakes to win & over 2.5 goals
75%
Orlando City SC to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
59%
Expected goals
3.69 : 1.02
Most likely score
3 - 1
Suggested market
San Jose Earthquakes to win (85%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1.47 | 62.6% | 85% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.7% | 9% |
| Orlando City SC | 4.90 | 18.7% | 6% |
San Jose Earthquakes to winEdge on the suggested market: +22.4 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.25
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 11:06 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 3.69 vs 1.02
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp compared San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the MLS.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 3.69 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.02 for Orlando City SC, translating into probabilities of 85% (home), 9% (draw) and 6% (away).
OddsWasp leans towards San Jose Earthquakes to win (85%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 85% and both teams scoring at 62%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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