St. Louis CITY SC vs Real Salt Lake — prediction & probabilities
St. Louis CITY SCVS
Real Salt Lake53%
1 — St. Louis CITY SC26%
X21%
2 — Real Salt LakeAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — St. Louis CITY SC
53%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Real Salt Lake
21%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Both teams to score
44%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
Double chance: St. Louis CITY SC or draw
79%
Double chance: draw or Real Salt Lake
47%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
37%
St. Louis CITY SC to win & over 2.5 goals
28%
Real Salt Lake to win & over 2.5 goals
9%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
32%
Expected goals
1.51 : 0.83
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (59%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis CITY SC | 2.10 | 43.8% | 53% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.5% | 26% |
| Real Salt Lake | 3.00 opened 2.90 | 30.7% | 21% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
St. Louis CITY SCReal Salt Lake Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.51 vs 0.83
Head-to-head historySt. Louis CITY SC won 0, Real Salt Lake won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2025-10-19Draw2–2
- 2025-07-06Real Salt Lake3–2
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between St. Louis CITY SC and Real Salt Lake through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 53% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 21% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 59%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 41% and both teams to score at 44%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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