Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics — prediction & probabilities

Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
VSWNBA
12 August 2026 at 03:00 BST
Washington MysticsWashington Mystics
69%
Las Vegas Aces
31%
Washington Mystics
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Las Vegas Aces
69%
Washington Mystics
31%
Over 164.5 points
70%

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Las Vegas Aces to win by 5.5+ points
50%
Washington Mystics to win by 5.5+ points
17%
Projected score
90 - 84
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Las Vegas Aces to win (69%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas AcesWashington Mystics Washington Mystics
94.7
Attack
83.4
87.7
Defence
81.6
Key statExpected points: 90 vs 84
Head-to-head historyLas Vegas Aces won 2, Washington Mystics won 3 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-22Washington Mystics100–99
  • 2025-08-23Las Vegas Aces91–81
  • 2025-07-10Washington Mystics70–68
  • 2025-06-27Washington Mystics94–83
  • 2025-05-24Las Vegas Aces75–72

OddsWasp projected Las Vegas Aces vs Washington Mystics by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 90-84, which translates to win probabilities of 69% for Las Vegas Aces and 31% for Washington Mystics.

With a projected total of 174 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Las Vegas Aces to win at 69%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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