Botafogo vs Gremio — prediction & probabilities
BotafogoVS
Gremio60%
1 — Botafogo23%
X17%
2 — GremioAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Botafogo
60%
X — Draw
23%
2 — Gremio
17%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
45%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
Double chance: Botafogo or draw
83%
Double chance: draw or Gremio
40%
Double chance: either team to win
77%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
42%
Botafogo to win & over 2.5 goals
34%
Gremio to win & over 2.5 goals
8%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
34%
Expected goals
1.73 : 0.8
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Botafogo to win (60%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
BotafogoGremio Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.73 vs 0.8
Head-to-head historyBotafogo won 1, Gremio won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-02-05Gremio5–3
- 2025-11-22Botafogo3–2
- 2025-09-24Draw1–1
Ahead of Botafogo vs Gremio, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 60% chance of a home win, 23% for the draw and 17% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Botafogo to win (60%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 45%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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