Coritiba vs Cruzeiro — prediction & probabilities

CoritibaCoritiba
VSBrasileirão Série A
31 July 2026 at 01:30 BST
CruzeiroCruzeiro
33%
1 — Coritiba
24%
X
43%
2 — Cruzeiro
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Coritiba
33%
X — Draw
24%
2 — Cruzeiro
43%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
59%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
Double chance: Coritiba or draw
57%
Double chance: draw or Cruzeiro
67%
Double chance: either team to win
76%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
49%
Coritiba to win & over 2.5 goals
21%
Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
48%
Expected goals
1.37 : 1.6
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (59%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Coritiba CoritibaCruzeiro Cruzeiro
1.07
Attack
1.03
1.35
Defence
0.88
Key statExpected goals: 1.37 vs 1.6
Head-to-head historyCoritiba won 1, Cruzeiro won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-02-06Coritiba2–1

Ahead of Coritiba vs Cruzeiro, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.

OddsWasp gives Coritiba a 33% chance of winning, against 43% for Cruzeiro and 24% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 59%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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