Sao Paulo vs Santos — prediction & probabilities
Sao PauloVS
Santos40%
1 — Sao Paulo24%
X36%
2 — SantosAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Sao Paulo
40%
X — Draw
24%
2 — Santos
36%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
60%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
Double chance: Sao Paulo or draw
64%
Double chance: draw or Santos
60%
Double chance: either team to win
76%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
49%
Sao Paulo to win & over 2.5 goals
26%
Santos to win & over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
48%
Expected goals
1.52 : 1.44
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (60%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Sao PauloSantos Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.52 vs 1.44
Head-to-head historySao Paulo won 1, Santos won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-02-04Draw1–1
- 2025-09-21Santos1–0
- 2025-04-20Sao Paulo2–1
OddsWasp compared Sao Paulo and Santos using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 40% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 36% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 60%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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