Vitória vs Palmeiras — prediction & probabilities
VitóriaVS
Palmeiras17%
1 — Vitória33%
X50%
2 — PalmeirasAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Vitória
17%
X — Draw
33%
2 — Palmeiras
50%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score
26%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
47%
Over 3.5 goals
8%
Double chance: Vitória or draw
50%
Double chance: draw or Palmeiras
83%
Double chance: either team to win
67%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
20%
Vitória to win & over 2.5 goals
4%
Palmeiras to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
15%
Expected goals
0.51 : 1.09
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (78%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
VitóriaPalmeiras Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.51 vs 1.09
Head-to-head historyVitória won 0, Palmeiras won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (2 draws)
- 2026-02-05Palmeiras5–1
- 2025-11-19Draw0–0
- 2025-08-03Draw2–2
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Vitória and Palmeiras through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp gives Vitória a 17% chance of winning, against 50% for Palmeiras and 33% for a draw. The most probable score is 0-1.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (78%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 22% and both teams scoring at 26%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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