Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati — prediction & probabilities

Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
VSMLS
26 July 2026 at 00:00 BST
FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
42%
1 — Columbus Crew
21%
X
37%
2 — FC Cincinnati
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Columbus Crew
42%
X — Draw
21%
2 — FC Cincinnati
37%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Both teams to score
73%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
Double chance: Columbus Crew or draw
63%
Double chance: draw or FC Cincinnati
58%
Double chance: either team to win
79%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
63%
Columbus Crew to win & over 2.5 goals
34%
FC Cincinnati to win & over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
66%
Expected goals
2.02 : 1.87
Most likely score
2 - 1
Suggested market
Over 2.5 goals (75%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Columbus Crew Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
0.88
Attack
1.77
0.92
Defence
1.58
Key statExpected goals: 2.02 vs 1.87
Head-to-head historyColumbus Crew won 2, FC Cincinnati won 2 of their last 5 recorded meetings (1 draws)
  • 2025-11-08FC Cincinnati2–1
  • 2025-11-02Columbus Crew4–0
  • 2025-10-27FC Cincinnati1–0
  • 2025-07-12Columbus Crew4–2
  • 2025-05-17Draw1–1

Ahead of Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp gives Columbus Crew a 42% chance of winning, against 37% for FC Cincinnati and 21% for a draw. The most probable score is 2-1.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Over 2.5 goals, rated at 75%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 75% and both teams to score at 73%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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