LAFC vs Sporting Kansas City — prediction & probabilities
LAFCVS
Sporting Kansas City73%
1 — LAFC17%
X10%
2 — Sporting Kansas CityAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — LAFC
73%
X — Draw
17%
2 — Sporting Kansas City
10%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
44%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
Double chance: LAFC or draw
90%
Double chance: draw or Sporting Kansas City
27%
Double chance: either team to win
83%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
53%
LAFC to win & over 2.5 goals
48%
Sporting Kansas City to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
36%
Expected goals
2.27 : 0.68
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
LAFC to win (73%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
LAFCSporting Kansas City Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 2.27 vs 0.68
Head-to-head historyLAFC won 2, Sporting Kansas City won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-06-09LAFC3–1
- 2025-03-23LAFC2–0
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between LAFC and Sporting Kansas City through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 73% chance of a home win, 17% for the draw and 10% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards LAFC to win (73%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 44%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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