New England Revolution vs Atlanta United — prediction & probabilities

New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
VSMLS
26 July 2026 at 00:30 BST
Atlanta UnitedAtlanta United
52%
1 — New England Revolution
33%
X
15%
2 — Atlanta United
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — New England Revolution
52%
X — Draw
33%
2 — Atlanta United
15%
Over 2.5 goals
21%
Both teams to score
25%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
46%
Over 3.5 goals
7%
Double chance: New England Revolution or draw
85%
Double chance: draw or Atlanta United
48%
Double chance: either team to win
67%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
19%
New England Revolution to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Atlanta United to win & over 2.5 goals
3%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
14%
Expected goals
1.11 : 0.46
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (79%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

New England Revolution New England RevolutionAtlanta United Atlanta United
0.83
Attack
0.54
0.74
Defence
0.92
Key statExpected goals: 1.11 vs 0.46
Head-to-head historyNew England Revolution won 3, Atlanta United won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings
  • 2026-04-22New England Revolution2–1
  • 2025-09-27New England Revolution2–0
  • 2025-04-12New England Revolution1–0

Ahead of New England Revolution vs Atlanta United, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp estimates a 52% chance of a home win, 33% for the draw and 15% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (79%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 21% and both teams scoring at 25%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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