Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC — prediction & probabilities

Orlando City SC

FINAL1–0MLS
26 July 2026 at 01:46 BST

Nashville SC

✗Incorrect prediction

OddsWasp suggested Nashville SC to win (57%), but the final result was different: 1–0.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals42% ✗

Both teams to score43% ✗

18%

1 — Orlando City SC

25%

57%

2 — Nashville SC

OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Orlando City SC

18%

X — Draw

25%

2 — Nashville SC

57%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Both teams to score

43%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

69%

Over 3.5 goals

22%

Double chance: Orlando City SC or draw

43%

Double chance: draw or Nashville SC

82%

Double chance: either team to win

75%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

38%

Orlando City SC to win & over 2.5 goals

Nashville SC to win & over 2.5 goals

30%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

32%

Expected goals

0.78 : 1.6

Most likely score

0 - 1

Suggested market

Nashville SC to win (57%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Orlando City SCNashville SC

1.19

Attack

1.03

1.35

Defence

0.45

Key statExpected goals: 0.78 vs 1.6

Head-to-head historyOrlando City SC won 1, Nashville SC won 2 of their last 3 recorded meetings

2026-03-21Nashville SC5–0
2025-09-20Orlando City SC3–2
2025-08-24Nashville SC5–1

OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Orlando City SC and Nashville SC through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp estimates a 18% chance of a home win, 25% for the draw and 57% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Nashville SC to win, rated at 57%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 43%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).