San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy — prediction & probabilities

San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
VSMLS
26 July 2026 at 03:30 BST
LA GalaxyLA Galaxy
67%
1 — San Jose Earthquakes
20%
X
13%
2 — LA Galaxy
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — San Jose Earthquakes
67%
X — Draw
20%
2 — LA Galaxy
13%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
45%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
Double chance: San Jose Earthquakes or draw
87%
Double chance: draw or LA Galaxy
33%
Double chance: either team to win
80%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
47%
San Jose Earthquakes to win & over 2.5 goals
41%
LA Galaxy to win & over 2.5 goals
6%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
35%
Expected goals
2 : 0.74
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
San Jose Earthquakes to win (67%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

San Jose Earthquakes San Jose EarthquakesLA Galaxy LA Galaxy
1.42
Attack
0.78
0.82
Defence
0.97
Key statExpected goals: 2 vs 0.74
Head-to-head historySan Jose Earthquakes won 1, LA Galaxy won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
  • 2025-06-29Draw1–1
  • 2025-05-29San Jose Earthquakes1–0

Ahead of San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp gives San Jose Earthquakes a 67% chance of winning, against 13% for LA Galaxy and 20% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-0.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is San Jose Earthquakes to win, rated at 67%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 45%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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